Scouting Report
Mason McTavish holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Rooney on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rooney 47.8% vs McTavish 50.6% (-3.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McTavish 82.6%
Defensive zone
Rooney 70.1%
Neutral zone
McTavish 61.5%
Result
Mason McTavish favored at 54.0%
46.0%
54.0%
Rooney
McTavish
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Rooney
McTavish
Last 7: Rooney 4-3 McTavish
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Rooney
McTavish
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rooney
3
0
Rooney
McTavish
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McTavish
0
2
Rooney
McTavish
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rooney
McTavish
Edge
Even Strength
47.0% (319)
51.1% (769)
-4.1%
Power Play
57.1% (7)
50.6% (178)
+6.5%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (87)
28.6% (14)
+18.5%
On penalty kill, Rooney has a +18.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McTavish shoots left. Rooney is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (295).
Rooney shoots left. McTavish is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (665).
Home / Away
Rooney
McTavish
Home
45.8% (203)
52.3% (461)
Away
48.6% (210)
49.2% (500)
By Period
Rooney
McTavish
P1
47.2%
51.5%
P2
55.0%
54.0%
P3
37.3%
47.1%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
51.6%
51.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rooney
40.0%▼
47.0%
47.2%
McTavish
48.0%▼
51.5%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2025 | 2 | 02:01 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Apr 3, 2025 | 2 | 01:39 | Defensive | Kevin Rooney |
| Jan 30, 2025 | 3 | 19:35 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Jan 30, 2025 | 2 | 18:29 | Defensive | Kevin Rooney |
| Jan 30, 2025 | 2 | 13:05 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Jan 30, 2025 | 2 | 03:26 | Defensive | Kevin Rooney |
| Jan 7, 2025 | 1 | 05:22 | Offensive | Kevin Rooney |