Scouting Report
Mason McTavish holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Rooney on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Rooney wins 45.4% vs left-shot opponents — McTavish shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rooney 46.4% vs McTavish 48.7% (-2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McTavish 76.4%
Defensive zone
Rooney 66.6%
Neutral zone
McTavish 59.7%
Result
Mason McTavish favored at 53.2%
46.8%
53.2%
Rooney
McTavish
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Rooney
McTavish
Last 7: Rooney 4-3 McTavish
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Rooney
McTavish
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rooney
3
0
Rooney
McTavish
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McTavish
0
2
Rooney
McTavish
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rooney
McTavish
Edge
Even Strength
46.7% (2,042)
48.2% (2,788)
-1.5%
Power Play
41.7% (48)
52.6% (435)
-10.9%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (267)
34.3% (35)
+9.1%
On power play, McTavish has a +10.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McTavish shoots left. Rooney is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,570).
Rooney shoots left. McTavish is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,155).
Home / Away
Rooney
McTavish
Home
47.4% (1,227)
49.8% (1,678)
Away
44.9% (1,130)
47.4% (1,580)
By Period
Rooney
McTavish
P1
48.1%
50.0%
P2
47.1%
47.8%
P3
43.6%
48.4%
OT
12.5%
43.5%
Final 5 min
47.7%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rooney
40.0%▼
47.0%
46.2%
McTavish
46.0%▬
45.5%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2025 | 2 | 02:01 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Apr 3, 2025 | 2 | 01:39 | Defensive | Kevin Rooney |
| Jan 30, 2025 | 3 | 19:35 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Jan 30, 2025 | 2 | 18:29 | Defensive | Kevin Rooney |
| Jan 30, 2025 | 2 | 13:05 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Jan 30, 2025 | 2 | 03:26 | Defensive | Kevin Rooney |
| Jan 7, 2025 | 1 | 05:22 | Offensive | Kevin Rooney |