Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (44.8% vs 45.4%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rooney 45.8% vs MacKinnon 45.9% (-0.6%)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 54.2%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 51.5%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 51.3%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 52.3%
47.7%
52.3%
Rooney
MacKinnon
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rooney
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
45.5% (367)
45.8% (755)
-0.3%
Power Play
44.4% (9)
48.3% (60)
-3.9%
Penalty Kill
35.7% (28)
27.6% (29)
+8.1%
On penalty kill, Rooney has a +8.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Rooney is 48.8% vs right-shot opponents (125).
Rooney shoots left. MacKinnon is 44.5% vs left-shot opponents (636).
Home / Away
Rooney
MacKinnon
Home
47.5% (219)
49.5% (396)
Away
41.6% (185)
41.7% (448)
By Period
Rooney
MacKinnon
P1
46.4%
50.2%
P2
46.3%
43.8%
P3
42.0%
41.4%
OT
0.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
46.2%
41.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rooney
40.0%▼
47.0%
44.8%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
45.4%