Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (46.6% vs 46.2%). Rooney wins 55.2% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rooney 47.7% vs MacKinnon 46.5% (+0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 71.8%
Defensive zone
Rooney 66.0%
Neutral zone
Rooney 51.1%
Result
Kevin Rooney favored at 66.0%
66.0%
34.0%
Rooney
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Rooney
MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rooney
1
0
Rooney
MacKinnon
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rooney
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (181)
45.5% (1,190)
+2.6%
Power Play
66.7% (6)
56.4% (94)
+10.3%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (21)
40.0% (30)
-11.4%
On penalty kill, MacKinnon has a +11.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Rooney is 55.2% vs right-shot opponents (58).
Rooney shoots left. MacKinnon is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (905).
Home / Away
Rooney
MacKinnon
Home
49.1% (112)
47.8% (670)
Away
43.8% (96)
44.6% (644)
By Period
Rooney
MacKinnon
P1
40.0%
45.3%
P2
53.4%
48.5%
P3
46.7%
45.0%
Final 5 min
41.4%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rooney
40.0%▼
47.0%
46.6%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2024 | 3 | 03:47 | Defensive | Kevin Rooney |