Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +9.6% FO% edge overall. Rooney wins 43.3% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rooney 47.7% vs Karlsson 55.6% (-9.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rooney 61.7%
Defensive zone
Rooney 88.3%
Neutral zone
Rooney 73.6%
Result
Kevin Rooney favored at 65.7%
65.7%
34.3%
Rooney
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
3
(3 meetings)
0
3
Rooney
Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
0
2
Rooney
Karlsson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Karlsson
0
1
Rooney
Karlsson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rooney
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (181)
56.3% (739)
-8.2%
Power Play
66.7% (6)
58.6% (181)
+8.1%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (21)
47.2% (53)
-18.6%
On penalty kill, Karlsson has a +18.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Rooney is 43.3% vs left-shot opponents (150).
Rooney shoots left. Karlsson is 57.4% vs left-shot opponents (627).
Home / Away
Rooney
Karlsson
Home
49.1% (112)
56.5% (462)
Away
43.8% (96)
56.0% (511)
By Period
Rooney
Karlsson
P1
40.0%
57.1%
P2
53.4%
55.2%
P3
46.7%
56.7%
Final 5 min
41.4%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rooney
40.0%▼
47.0%
46.6%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
56.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2024 | 1 | 15:28 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 1 | 09:10 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 1 | 08:06 | Offensive | William Karlsson |