Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +10.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Karlsson on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rooney 47.8% vs Karlsson 57.1% (-10.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Karlsson 52.0%
Defensive zone
Rooney 88.1%
Neutral zone
Rooney 73.8%
Result
Kevin Rooney favored at 61.1%
61.1%
38.9%
Rooney
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Rooney
Karlsson
Last 6: Rooney 1-5 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
0
4
Rooney
Karlsson
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rooney
1
0
Rooney
Karlsson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Rooney
Karlsson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rooney
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
47.0% (319)
58.6% (597)
-11.6%
Power Play
57.1% (7)
57.9% (57)
-0.8%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (87)
51.9% (52)
-4.8%
On even strength, Karlsson has a +11.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Rooney is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (295).
Rooney shoots left. Karlsson is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (467).
Home / Away
Rooney
Karlsson
Home
45.8% (203)
59.6% (344)
Away
48.6% (210)
56.6% (362)
By Period
Rooney
Karlsson
P1
47.2%
53.1%
P2
55.0%
62.1%
P3
37.3%
60.1%
OT
50.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
51.6%
61.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rooney
40.0%▼
47.0%
47.2%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
58.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2025 | 2 | 09:41 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Dec 29, 2024 | 3 | 19:53 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Dec 29, 2024 | 1 | 13:27 | Defensive | Kevin Rooney |
| Dec 29, 2024 | 1 | 13:07 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Oct 28, 2024 | 2 | 05:40 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Oct 28, 2024 | 2 | 05:35 | Offensive | William Karlsson |