Scouting Report
Kevin Stenlund holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Okposo on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Stenlund wins 45.5% vs right-shot opponents — Okposo shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stenlund 51.2% vs Okposo 48.3% (+3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Okposo 75.7%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 67.8%
Neutral zone
Okposo 55.3%
Result
Kyle Okposo favored at 57.1%
42.9%
57.1%
Stenlund
Okposo
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Stenlund
Okposo
Last 7: Stenlund 3-4 Okposo
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Stenlund
Okposo
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Okposo
1
2
Stenlund
Okposo
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stenlund
Okposo
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (592)
50.5% (218)
+3.9%
Power Play
42.9% (14)
51.6% (31)
-8.7%
Penalty Kill
44.1% (229)
19.2% (26)
+24.9%
On penalty kill, Stenlund has a +24.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Okposo shoots right. Stenlund is 45.5% vs right-shot opponents (191).
Stenlund shoots right. Okposo is 54.3% vs right-shot opponents (70).
Home / Away
Stenlund
Okposo
Home
50.7% (402)
48.8% (127)
Away
52.0% (433)
46.6% (148)
By Period
Stenlund
Okposo
P1
56.5%
41.1%
P2
52.4%
44.2%
P3
45.2%
60.5%
Final 5 min
48.1%
47.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stenlund
52.0%▼
59.0%
51.4%
Okposo
48.0%▬
49.0%
47.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2024 | 2 | 02:28 | Defensive | Kyle Okposo |
| Feb 27, 2024 | 1 | 19:35 | Offensive | Kyle Okposo |
| Feb 27, 2024 | 1 | 16:24 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Feb 27, 2024 | 1 | 13:40 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Feb 27, 2024 | 1 | 02:54 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Feb 27, 2024 | 1 | 02:40 | Defensive | Kyle Okposo |
| Feb 15, 2024 | 3 | 19:15 | Offensive | Kyle Okposo |