Scouting Report
Kevin Stenlund holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Okposo on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stenlund 54.0% vs Okposo 48.7% (+5.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Okposo 82.9%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 83.7%
Neutral zone
Okposo 56.8%
Result
Kyle Okposo favored at 54.3%
45.7%
54.3%
Stenlund
Okposo
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Stenlund
Okposo
Last 7: Stenlund 3-4 Okposo
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Stenlund
Okposo
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Okposo
1
2
Stenlund
Okposo
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stenlund
Okposo
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (2,703)
49.1% (1,513)
+6.2%
Power Play
52.6% (116)
50.1% (391)
+2.5%
Penalty Kill
50.6% (919)
39.7% (151)
+10.9%
On penalty kill, Stenlund has a +10.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Okposo shoots right. Stenlund is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (931).
Stenlund shoots right. Okposo is 51.5% vs right-shot opponents (532).
Home / Away
Stenlund
Okposo
Home
54.3% (1,848)
50.2% (990)
Away
53.9% (1,890)
47.1% (1,065)
By Period
Stenlund
Okposo
P1
56.4%
48.8%
P2
53.3%
49.6%
P3
52.8%
47.3%
OT
52.9%
48.7%
Final 5 min
53.4%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stenlund
52.0%▼
59.0%
54.1%
Okposo
48.0%▬
49.0%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2024 | 2 | 02:28 | Defensive | Kyle Okposo |
| Feb 27, 2024 | 1 | 19:35 | Offensive | Kyle Okposo |
| Feb 27, 2024 | 1 | 16:24 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Feb 27, 2024 | 1 | 13:40 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Feb 27, 2024 | 1 | 02:54 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Feb 27, 2024 | 1 | 02:40 | Defensive | Kyle Okposo |
| Feb 15, 2024 | 3 | 19:15 | Offensive | Kyle Okposo |