Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.4% vs 52.3%). Look for Eller on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Stenlund wins 53.1% vs left-shot opponents — Eller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stenlund 51.2% vs Eller 52.0% (-0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stenlund 55.6%
Defensive zone
Eller 53.6%
Neutral zone
Stenlund 57.4%
Result
Kevin Stenlund favored at 50.6%
50.6%
49.4%
Stenlund
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Stenlund
Eller
Last 7: Stenlund 2-5 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Stenlund
Eller
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
1
3
Stenlund
Eller
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
0
1
Stenlund
Eller
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stenlund
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (592)
52.8% (742)
+1.6%
Power Play
42.9% (14)
67.6% (34)
-24.7%
Penalty Kill
44.1% (229)
46.2% (156)
-2.1%
On power play, Eller has a +24.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Stenlund is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (644).
Stenlund shoots right. Eller is 51.4% vs right-shot opponents (333).
Home / Away
Stenlund
Eller
Home
50.7% (402)
54.5% (448)
Away
52.0% (433)
50.2% (484)
By Period
Stenlund
Eller
P1
56.5%
52.8%
P2
52.4%
50.9%
P3
45.2%
53.4%
OT
100.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
48.1%
55.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stenlund
52.0%▼
59.0%
51.4%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2024 | 3 | 05:35 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Feb 14, 2024 | 2 | 14:42 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Feb 14, 2024 | 2 | 06:42 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 26, 2024 | 3 | 03:44 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 26, 2024 | 2 | 05:22 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 26, 2024 | 1 | 14:32 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 8, 2023 | 2 | 02:46 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |