Scouting Report
Kevin Stenlund holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Stenlund wins 61.8% vs left-shot opponents — Eller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stenlund 58.3% vs Eller 51.9% (+6.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stenlund 63.0%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 86.4%
Neutral zone
Stenlund 71.6%
Result
Kevin Stenlund favored at 71.0%
71.0%
29.0%
Stenlund
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Stenlund
Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Stenlund
Eller
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
1
0
Stenlund
Eller
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stenlund
1
0
Stenlund
Eller
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stenlund
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
58.6% (797)
52.8% (650)
+5.8%
Power Play
62.5% (24)
69.2% (13)
-6.7%
Penalty Kill
60.5% (233)
45.5% (88)
+15.0%
On penalty kill, Stenlund has a +15.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Stenlund is 61.8% vs left-shot opponents (845).
Stenlund shoots right. Eller is 61.3% vs right-shot opponents (225).
Home / Away
Stenlund
Eller
Home
58.6% (548)
52.6% (340)
Away
59.7% (506)
51.8% (411)
By Period
Stenlund
Eller
P1
60.2%
52.4%
P2
59.1%
54.1%
P3
58.3%
50.0%
OT
58.6%
50.0%
Final 5 min
58.8%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stenlund
52.0%▼
59.0%
59.1%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2025 | 1 | 07:36 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |
| Nov 18, 2024 | 3 | 11:03 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 18, 2024 | 3 | 10:57 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Nov 18, 2024 | 2 | 12:47 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |