Kevin Stenlund vs Michael McCarron
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Kevin Stenlund holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for McCarron on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stenlund 58.3% vs McCarron 54.0% (+4.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stenlund 59.0%
Defensive zone
McCarron 66.6%
Neutral zone
Stenlund 52.3%
Result
Michael McCarron favored at 56.0%
44.0%
56.0%
Stenlund
McCarron
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Stenlund
McCarron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
1
0
Stenlund
McCarron
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
0
3
Stenlund
McCarron
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stenlund
2
0
Stenlund
McCarron
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stenlund
McCarron
Edge
Even Strength
58.6% (797)
54.2% (756)
+4.4%
Power Play
62.5% (24)
55.6% (9)
+6.9%
Penalty Kill
60.5% (233)
55.1% (158)
+5.4%
On power play, Stenlund has a +6.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCarron shoots right. Stenlund is 48.3% vs right-shot opponents (209).
Stenlund shoots right. McCarron is 53.0% vs right-shot opponents (249).
Home / Away
Stenlund
McCarron
Home
58.6% (548)
54.6% (445)
Away
59.7% (506)
54.2% (478)
By Period
Stenlund
McCarron
P1
60.2%
53.6%
P2
59.1%
55.6%
P3
58.3%
53.7%
OT
58.6%
100.0%
Final 5 min
58.8%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stenlund
52.0%▼
59.0%
59.1%
McCarron
48.0%▬
48.5%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2024 | 3 | 17:05 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |