Scouting Report
Kevin Stenlund holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Kadri on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Stenlund wins 53.7% vs left-shot opponents — Kadri shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stenlund 52.7% vs Kadri 47.7% (+5.7%)
H2H factor
Kadri leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Kadri 87.8%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 85.8%
Neutral zone
Kadri 56.8%
Result
Nazem Kadri favored at 59.3%
40.7%
59.3%
Stenlund
Kadri
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
6
(11 meetings)
5
6
Stenlund
Kadri
Last 10: Stenlund 4-6 Kadri
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
1
4
Stenlund
Kadri
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
3
0
Stenlund
Kadri
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kadri
1
2
Stenlund
Kadri
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stenlund
Kadri
Edge
Even Strength
58.2% (359)
46.2% (1,005)
+12.0%
Power Play
47.1% (17)
57.3% (199)
-10.2%
Penalty Kill
42.0% (150)
26.7% (30)
+15.3%
On penalty kill, Stenlund has a +15.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kadri shoots left. Stenlund is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (402).
Stenlund shoots right. Kadri is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (441).
Home / Away
Stenlund
Kadri
Home
53.6% (261)
47.4% (641)
Away
52.8% (265)
47.6% (593)
By Period
Stenlund
Kadri
P1
55.4%
46.9%
P2
51.5%
49.5%
P3
52.9%
46.2%
Final 5 min
52.0%
46.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stenlund
52.0%▼
59.0%
53.2%
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
47.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2023 | 2 | 16:30 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Apr 5, 2023 | 2 | 13:25 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |
| Apr 5, 2023 | 2 | 08:42 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Apr 5, 2023 | 2 | 08:20 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Apr 5, 2023 | 1 | 11:42 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Apr 5, 2023 | 1 | 05:13 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Apr 5, 2023 | 1 | 02:41 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 3, 2023 | 3 | 19:24 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 3, 2023 | 1 | 17:10 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 3, 2023 | 1 | 10:54 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Jan 3, 2023 | 1 | 01:41 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |