Scouting Report
Kevin Stenlund holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Stenlund on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Stenlund wins 57.9% vs left-shot opponents — Kadri shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stenlund 54.3% vs Kadri 47.6% (+7.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kadri 57.6%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 94.8%
Neutral zone
Stenlund 75.0%
Result
Kevin Stenlund favored at 75.2%
75.2%
24.8%
Stenlund
Kadri
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Stenlund
Kadri
Last 8: Stenlund 5-3 Kadri
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
0
3
Stenlund
Kadri
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
5
0
Stenlund
Kadri
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stenlund
Kadri
Edge
Even Strength
56.1% (615)
47.4% (821)
+8.7%
Power Play
53.2% (47)
48.8% (86)
+4.4%
Penalty Kill
52.1% (307)
38.5% (13)
+13.6%
On penalty kill, Stenlund has a +13.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kadri shoots left. Stenlund is 57.9% vs left-shot opponents (649).
Stenlund shoots right. Kadri is 53.2% vs right-shot opponents (325).
Home / Away
Stenlund
Kadri
Home
57.0% (458)
46.6% (487)
Away
52.6% (511)
48.3% (433)
By Period
Stenlund
Kadri
P1
55.1%
52.7%
P2
53.3%
50.2%
P3
56.4%
40.2%
OT
42.1%
44.4%
Final 5 min
57.6%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stenlund
52.0%▼
59.0%
54.7%
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
47.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2025 | 2 | 14:06 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 1 | 13:30 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 1 | 13:23 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Oct 15, 2025 | 3 | 18:51 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Oct 15, 2025 | 3 | 17:34 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 15, 2025 | 3 | 17:11 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Oct 15, 2025 | 2 | 04:32 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 15, 2025 | 1 | 15:26 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |