Scouting Report
Kevin Stenlund holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stenlund 54.3% vs Bjugstad 49.1% (+5.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bjugstad 69.7%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 63.3%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 64.3%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 69.7%
30.3%
69.7%
Stenlund
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Stenlund
Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
0
1
Stenlund
Bjugstad
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stenlund
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
56.1% (615)
48.9% (280)
+7.2%
Power Play
53.2% (47)
50.0% (6)
+3.2%
Penalty Kill
52.1% (307)
47.2% (36)
+4.9%
On even strength, Stenlund has a +7.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Stenlund is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (320).
Stenlund shoots right. Bjugstad is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (68).
Home / Away
Stenlund
Bjugstad
Home
57.0% (458)
48.4% (190)
Away
52.6% (511)
49.2% (132)
By Period
Stenlund
Bjugstad
P1
55.1%
41.7%
P2
53.3%
56.6%
P3
56.4%
48.7%
OT
42.1%
33.3%
Final 5 min
57.6%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stenlund
52.0%▼
59.0%
54.7%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2025 | 1 | 15:37 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |