Scouting Report
Kevin Stenlund holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Stenlund wins 45.5% vs right-shot opponents — Bjugstad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stenlund 51.2% vs Bjugstad 49.3% (+2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bjugstad 68.5%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 64.6%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 66.8%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 66.3%
33.7%
66.3%
Stenlund
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Stenlund
Bjugstad
Last 5: Stenlund 1-4 Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
0
1
Stenlund
Bjugstad
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Stenlund
Bjugstad
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
0
2
Stenlund
Bjugstad
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stenlund
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (592)
50.7% (906)
+3.7%
Power Play
42.9% (14)
48.1% (108)
-5.2%
Penalty Kill
44.1% (229)
44.4% (239)
-0.3%
On power play, Bjugstad has a +5.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Stenlund is 45.5% vs right-shot opponents (191).
Stenlund shoots right. Bjugstad is 49.3% vs right-shot opponents (347).
Home / Away
Stenlund
Bjugstad
Home
50.7% (402)
49.8% (643)
Away
52.0% (433)
48.7% (610)
By Period
Stenlund
Bjugstad
P1
56.5%
49.4%
P2
52.4%
50.5%
P3
45.2%
47.9%
OT
100.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
48.1%
48.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stenlund
52.0%▼
59.0%
51.4%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2024 | 3 | 16:58 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Jan 24, 2024 | 3 | 14:20 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Jan 24, 2024 | 3 | 06:34 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Jan 24, 2024 | 3 | 02:01 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Jan 24, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |