Scouting Report
Kevin Stenlund holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stenlund 52.7% vs Bjugstad 48.0% (+5.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bjugstad 55.2%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 50.3%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 54.1%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 53.5%
46.5%
53.5%
Stenlund
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Stenlund
Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Stenlund
Bjugstad
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
0
1
Stenlund
Bjugstad
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stenlund
1
0
Stenlund
Bjugstad
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stenlund
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
58.2% (359)
49.4% (867)
+8.8%
Power Play
47.1% (17)
56.0% (25)
-8.9%
Penalty Kill
42.0% (150)
40.7% (216)
+1.3%
On power play, Bjugstad has a +8.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Stenlund is 51.6% vs right-shot opponents (124).
Stenlund shoots right. Bjugstad is 41.3% vs right-shot opponents (312).
Home / Away
Stenlund
Bjugstad
Home
53.6% (261)
46.5% (480)
Away
52.8% (265)
48.9% (628)
By Period
Stenlund
Bjugstad
P1
55.4%
48.7%
P2
51.5%
45.6%
P3
52.9%
49.1%
Final 5 min
52.0%
45.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stenlund
52.0%▼
59.0%
53.2%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2023 | 3 | 12:13 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Mar 4, 2023 | 3 | 02:50 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 4, 2023 | 2 | 10:45 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |
| Mar 4, 2023 | 2 | 01:45 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |