Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.7% vs 55.2%). Look for Hischier on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Stenlund wins 57.9% vs left-shot opponents — Hischier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stenlund 54.3% vs Hischier 54.9% (-0.5%)
H2H factor
Hischier leads 6-6 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Hischier 74.0%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 81.6%
Neutral zone
Hischier 52.2%
Result
Kevin Stenlund favored at 60.2%
60.2%
39.8%
Stenlund
Hischier
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
6
(12 meetings)
6
6
Stenlund
Hischier
Last 10: Stenlund 5-5 Hischier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
1
3
Stenlund
Hischier
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
4
3
Stenlund
Hischier
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stenlund
1
0
Stenlund
Hischier
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stenlund
Hischier
Edge
Even Strength
56.1% (615)
55.0% (1,107)
+1.1%
Power Play
53.2% (47)
63.1% (252)
-9.9%
Penalty Kill
52.1% (307)
43.6% (149)
+8.5%
On power play, Hischier has a +9.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hischier shoots left. Stenlund is 57.9% vs left-shot opponents (649).
Stenlund shoots right. Hischier is 57.4% vs right-shot opponents (531).
Home / Away
Stenlund
Hischier
Home
57.0% (458)
56.5% (763)
Away
52.6% (511)
54.0% (745)
By Period
Stenlund
Hischier
P1
55.1%
56.0%
P2
53.3%
57.6%
P3
56.4%
53.0%
OT
42.1%
33.3%
Final 5 min
57.6%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stenlund
52.0%▼
59.0%
54.7%
Hischier
50.0%▼
56.0%
55.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2026 | 3 | 09:43 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 2 | 18:24 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 2 | 14:09 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 2 | 13:18 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 2 | 00:31 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 1 | 14:18 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |
| Dec 19, 2025 | 3 | 12:49 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 19, 2025 | 3 | 03:11 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 19, 2025 | 2 | 18:48 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Dec 19, 2025 | 2 | 07:58 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Dec 19, 2025 | 2 | 01:16 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 19, 2025 | 1 | 11:00 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |