Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.2% vs 53.9%). Look for Stenlund on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Stenlund wins 53.7% vs left-shot opponents — Hischier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stenlund 52.7% vs Hischier 53.6% (-0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hischier 86.1%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 79.5%
Neutral zone
Hischier 51.4%
Result
Kevin Stenlund favored at 50.3%
50.3%
49.7%
Stenlund
Hischier
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Stenlund
Hischier
Last 9: Stenlund 6-3 Hischier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
1
3
Stenlund
Hischier
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
5
0
Stenlund
Hischier
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stenlund
Hischier
Edge
Even Strength
58.2% (359)
52.4% (1,185)
+5.8%
Power Play
47.1% (17)
57.8% (315)
-10.7%
Penalty Kill
42.0% (150)
57.1% (154)
-15.1%
On penalty kill, Hischier has a +15.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hischier shoots left. Stenlund is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (402).
Stenlund shoots right. Hischier is 55.5% vs right-shot opponents (640).
Home / Away
Stenlund
Hischier
Home
53.6% (261)
53.4% (844)
Away
52.8% (265)
54.3% (810)
By Period
Stenlund
Hischier
P1
55.4%
49.7%
P2
51.5%
54.6%
P3
52.9%
56.1%
Final 5 min
52.0%
54.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stenlund
52.0%▼
59.0%
53.2%
Hischier
50.0%▼
56.0%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2023 | 3 | 19:17 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Apr 2, 2023 | 3 | 00:37 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Apr 2, 2023 | 2 | 08:28 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Apr 2, 2023 | 1 | 09:00 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Feb 19, 2023 | 3 | 13:17 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Feb 19, 2023 | 2 | 17:52 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Feb 19, 2023 | 2 | 03:08 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Feb 19, 2023 | 1 | 19:57 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Feb 19, 2023 | 1 | 12:11 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |