Scouting Report
Kevin Stenlund holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Hischier on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Stenlund wins 61.8% vs left-shot opponents — Hischier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stenlund 58.3% vs Hischier 55.2% (+3.6%)
H2H factor
Hischier leads 6-6 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Hischier 69.8%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 68.8%
Neutral zone
Stenlund 50.1%
Result
Kevin Stenlund favored at 51.1%
51.1%
48.9%
Stenlund
Hischier
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
6
(12 meetings)
6
6
Stenlund
Hischier
Last 10: Stenlund 5-5 Hischier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
0
5
Stenlund
Hischier
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
5
1
Stenlund
Hischier
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stenlund
1
0
Stenlund
Hischier
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stenlund
Hischier
Edge
Even Strength
58.6% (797)
55.8% (1,228)
+2.8%
Power Play
62.5% (24)
62.1% (282)
+0.4%
Penalty Kill
60.5% (233)
47.6% (267)
+12.9%
On penalty kill, Stenlund has a +12.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hischier shoots left. Stenlund is 61.8% vs left-shot opponents (845).
Stenlund shoots right. Hischier is 59.3% vs right-shot opponents (590).
Home / Away
Stenlund
Hischier
Home
58.6% (548)
56.5% (867)
Away
59.7% (506)
54.6% (910)
By Period
Stenlund
Hischier
P1
60.2%
57.9%
P2
59.1%
55.9%
P3
58.3%
52.7%
OT
58.6%
66.7%
Final 5 min
58.8%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stenlund
52.0%▼
59.0%
59.1%
Hischier
50.0%▼
56.0%
55.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2025 | 2 | 15:12 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 1 | 12:12 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Oct 14, 2024 | 3 | 17:29 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Oct 14, 2024 | 3 | 08:55 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Oct 14, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |
| Oct 14, 2024 | 2 | 19:43 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Oct 14, 2024 | 2 | 14:12 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Oct 14, 2024 | 2 | 03:12 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Oct 14, 2024 | 1 | 19:50 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Oct 14, 2024 | 1 | 17:22 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Oct 14, 2024 | 1 | 08:23 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Oct 14, 2024 | 1 | 04:52 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |