Scouting Report
Kevin Stenlund holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Stenlund on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Stenlund wins 57.9% vs left-shot opponents — Suter shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stenlund 54.3% vs Suter 48.6% (+6.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stenlund 64.3%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 89.2%
Neutral zone
Stenlund 63.4%
Result
Kevin Stenlund favored at 69.9%
69.9%
30.1%
Stenlund
Suter
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Stenlund
Suter
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
1
0
Stenlund
Suter
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stenlund
2
1
Stenlund
Suter
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stenlund
Suter
Edge
Even Strength
56.1% (615)
50.1% (357)
+6.0%
Power Play
53.2% (47)
43.8% (16)
+9.4%
Penalty Kill
52.1% (307)
40.5% (79)
+11.6%
On penalty kill, Stenlund has a +11.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suter shoots left. Stenlund is 57.9% vs left-shot opponents (649).
Stenlund shoots right. Suter is 44.7% vs right-shot opponents (159).
Home / Away
Stenlund
Suter
Home
57.0% (458)
48.0% (223)
Away
52.6% (511)
48.5% (229)
By Period
Stenlund
Suter
P1
55.1%
48.9%
P2
53.3%
47.3%
P3
56.4%
49.7%
OT
42.1%
25.0%
Final 5 min
57.6%
51.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stenlund
52.0%▼
59.0%
54.7%
Suter
48.0%▬
47.5%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2025 | 3 | 19:43 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 3 | 10:19 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 2 | 02:27 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 1 | 10:55 | Neutral | Pius Suter |