Scouting Report
Kevin Stenlund holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Stenlund on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Stenlund wins 53.1% vs left-shot opponents — Suter shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stenlund 51.2% vs Suter 49.5% (+2.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Suter 61.7%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 81.2%
Neutral zone
Stenlund 61.6%
Result
Kevin Stenlund favored at 56.5%
56.5%
43.5%
Stenlund
Suter
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Stenlund
Suter
Last 6: Stenlund 4-2 Suter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
2
1
Stenlund
Suter
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
2
0
Stenlund
Suter
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Suter
0
1
Stenlund
Suter
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stenlund
Suter
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (592)
47.2% (299)
+7.2%
Power Play
42.9% (14)
58.9% (56)
-16.0%
Penalty Kill
44.1% (229)
54.5% (22)
-10.4%
On power play, Suter has a +16.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suter shoots left. Stenlund is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (644).
Stenlund shoots right. Suter is 54.0% vs right-shot opponents (126).
Home / Away
Stenlund
Suter
Home
50.7% (402)
51.7% (172)
Away
52.0% (433)
47.3% (205)
By Period
Stenlund
Suter
P1
56.5%
48.2%
P2
52.4%
49.3%
P3
45.2%
51.2%
OT
100.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
48.1%
49.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stenlund
52.0%▼
59.0%
51.4%
Suter
48.0%▬
47.5%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2023 | 3 | 14:49 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Dec 14, 2023 | 2 | 12:56 | Neutral | Pius Suter |
| Dec 14, 2023 | 2 | 09:09 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 3 | 13:17 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 2 | 10:16 | Offensive | Pius Suter |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 2 | 01:39 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |