Scouting Report
Kevin Stenlund holds a +16.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Stenlund on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Stenlund wins 61.8% vs left-shot opponents — Suter shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stenlund 58.3% vs Suter 43.3% (+16.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stenlund 72.7%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 93.6%
Neutral zone
Stenlund 93.5%
Result
Kevin Stenlund favored at 91.0%
91.0%
9.0%
Stenlund
Suter
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Stenlund
Suter
Last 8: Stenlund 6-2 Suter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
1
0
Stenlund
Suter
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
4
2
Stenlund
Suter
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stenlund
1
0
Stenlund
Suter
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stenlund
Suter
Edge
Even Strength
58.6% (797)
42.4% (740)
+16.2%
Power Play
62.5% (24)
48.0% (75)
+14.5%
Penalty Kill
60.5% (233)
37.3% (59)
+23.2%
On penalty kill, Stenlund has a +23.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suter shoots left. Stenlund is 61.8% vs left-shot opponents (845).
Stenlund shoots right. Suter is 44.0% vs right-shot opponents (309).
Home / Away
Stenlund
Suter
Home
58.6% (548)
41.8% (407)
Away
59.7% (506)
43.3% (467)
By Period
Stenlund
Suter
P1
60.2%
44.7%
P2
59.1%
41.5%
P3
58.3%
41.9%
OT
58.6%
40.0%
Final 5 min
58.8%
43.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stenlund
52.0%▼
59.0%
59.1%
Suter
48.0%▬
47.5%
42.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2025 | 3 | 06:14 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Mar 16, 2025 | 2 | 14:39 | Defensive | Pius Suter |
| Mar 16, 2025 | 2 | 07:53 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Mar 16, 2025 | 2 | 06:24 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 2 | 19:20 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 2 | 11:26 | Defensive | Pius Suter |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 1 | 11:12 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Dec 18, 2024 | 3 | 15:30 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |