Scouting Report
Kevin Stenlund holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Stenlund on defensive-zone draws (82% H2H, 11 meetings). Stenlund wins 61.8% vs left-shot opponents — Hintz shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stenlund 58.3% vs Hintz 53.5% (+5.2%)
H2H factor
Stenlund leads 14-7 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
Hintz 62.2%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 90.1%
Neutral zone
Stenlund 87.3%
Result
Kevin Stenlund favored at 72.3%
72.3%
27.7%
Stenlund
Hintz
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
7
(21 meetings)
14
7
Stenlund
Hintz
Last 8: Stenlund 7-1 Hintz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
4
3
Stenlund
Hintz
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
9
2
Stenlund
Hintz
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hintz
1
2
Stenlund
Hintz
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stenlund
Hintz
Edge
Even Strength
58.6% (797)
53.6% (711)
+5.0%
Power Play
62.5% (24)
53.8% (93)
+8.7%
Penalty Kill
60.5% (233)
58.7% (46)
+1.8%
On power play, Stenlund has a +8.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hintz shoots left. Stenlund is 61.8% vs left-shot opponents (845).
Stenlund shoots right. Hintz is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (332).
Home / Away
Stenlund
Hintz
Home
58.6% (548)
52.6% (460)
Away
59.7% (506)
55.4% (390)
By Period
Stenlund
Hintz
P1
60.2%
59.0%
P2
59.1%
52.7%
P3
58.3%
51.1%
OT
58.6%
20.0%
Final 5 min
58.8%
59.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stenlund
52.0%▼
59.0%
59.1%
Hintz
64.0%▲
61.0%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2025 | 3 | 15:57 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 2 | 19:19 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 2 | 10:30 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 2 | 06:34 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 3 | 09:14 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 1 | 00:52 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Dec 2, 2024 | 2 | 05:46 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Dec 2, 2024 | 2 | 04:19 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |