Scouting Report
Kevin Stenlund holds a +17.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Strome on offensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stenlund 58.3% vs Strome 42.3% (+17.4%)
H2H factor
Strome leads 9-4 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Strome 86.5%
Defensive zone
Strome 67.5%
Neutral zone
Strome 82.0%
Result
Ryan Strome favored at 78.8%
21.2%
78.8%
Stenlund
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
9
(13 meetings)
4
9
Stenlund
Strome
Last 10: Stenlund 3-7 Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
1
6
Stenlund
Strome
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
3
2
Stenlund
Strome
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Strome
0
1
Stenlund
Strome
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stenlund
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
58.6% (797)
41.2% (1,040)
+17.4%
Power Play
62.5% (24)
43.0% (151)
+19.5%
Penalty Kill
60.5% (233)
51.4% (35)
+9.1%
On power play, Stenlund has a +19.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Stenlund is 48.3% vs right-shot opponents (209).
Stenlund shoots right. Strome is 43.3% vs right-shot opponents (326).
Home / Away
Stenlund
Strome
Home
58.6% (548)
40.1% (581)
Away
59.7% (506)
43.1% (645)
By Period
Stenlund
Strome
P1
60.2%
41.4%
P2
59.1%
42.9%
P3
58.3%
40.5%
OT
58.6%
45.5%
Final 5 min
58.8%
40.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stenlund
52.0%▼
59.0%
59.1%
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
41.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2025 | 3 | 14:18 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 12, 2025 | 3 | 00:22 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Mar 12, 2025 | 2 | 16:17 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 12, 2025 | 1 | 15:06 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 12, 2025 | 1 | 15:01 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 12, 2025 | 1 | 06:39 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 12, 2025 | 1 | 02:26 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Dec 22, 2024 | OT | 02:15 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Dec 22, 2024 | OT | 00:17 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Dec 22, 2024 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Dec 22, 2024 | 3 | 04:48 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Dec 22, 2024 | 3 | 03:56 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Dec 22, 2024 | 2 | 19:51 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |