Scouting Report
Kevin Stenlund holds a +9.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Strome on offensive-zone draws (78% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stenlund 54.0% vs Strome 44.6% (+9.6%)
H2H factor
Strome leads 11-9 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Strome 83.9%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 73.1%
Neutral zone
Strome 61.5%
Result
Ryan Strome favored at 56.0%
44.0%
56.0%
Stenlund
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
11
(20 meetings)
9
11
Stenlund
Strome
Last 10: Stenlund 4-6 Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
2
7
Stenlund
Strome
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
6
3
Stenlund
Strome
9 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Stenlund
Strome
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stenlund
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (2,703)
44.1% (6,839)
+11.2%
Power Play
52.6% (116)
49.3% (854)
+3.3%
Penalty Kill
50.6% (919)
41.5% (410)
+9.1%
On even strength, Stenlund has a +11.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Stenlund is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (931).
Stenlund shoots right. Strome is 42.4% vs right-shot opponents (2,377).
Home / Away
Stenlund
Strome
Home
54.3% (1,848)
44.4% (4,046)
Away
53.9% (1,890)
44.7% (4,057)
By Period
Stenlund
Strome
P1
56.4%
44.0%
P2
53.3%
45.3%
P3
52.8%
44.3%
OT
52.9%
46.3%
Final 5 min
53.4%
44.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stenlund
52.0%▼
59.0%
54.1%
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
44.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 17, 2025 | OT | 00:31 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |
| Mar 12, 2025 | 3 | 14:18 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 12, 2025 | 3 | 00:22 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Mar 12, 2025 | 2 | 16:17 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 12, 2025 | 1 | 15:06 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 12, 2025 | 1 | 15:01 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 12, 2025 | 1 | 06:39 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 12, 2025 | 1 | 02:26 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Dec 22, 2024 | OT | 02:15 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Dec 22, 2024 | OT | 00:17 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Dec 22, 2024 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Dec 22, 2024 | 3 | 04:48 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Dec 22, 2024 | 3 | 03:56 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Dec 22, 2024 | 2 | 19:51 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 2 | 06:27 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 2 | 18:37 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 1 | 12:09 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 1 | 09:44 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Feb 14, 2020 | 3 | 06:22 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Jan 13, 2019 | 3 | 01:42 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |