Scouting Report
Kevin Stenlund holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Stenlund wins 53.7% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stenlund 52.7% vs Kuraly 49.7% (+3.6%)
Offensive zone
Stenlund 58.9%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 51.9%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 50.6%
Result
Kevin Stenlund favored at 53.4%
53.4%
46.6%
Stenlund
Kuraly
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stenlund
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
58.2% (359)
49.2% (901)
+9.0%
Power Play
47.1% (17)
68.2% (22)
-21.1%
Penalty Kill
42.0% (150)
49.8% (219)
-7.8%
On power play, Kuraly has a +21.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Stenlund is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (402).
Stenlund shoots right. Kuraly is 46.6% vs right-shot opponents (378).
Home / Away
Stenlund
Kuraly
Home
53.6% (261)
51.7% (603)
Away
52.8% (265)
47.3% (539)
By Period
Stenlund
Kuraly
P1
55.4%
50.9%
P2
51.5%
49.5%
P3
52.9%
49.1%
Final 5 min
52.0%
45.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stenlund
52.0%▼
59.0%
53.2%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
49.6%