Scouting Report
Kevin Stenlund holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stenlund 54.3% vs Noesen 49.6% (+6.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Noesen 75.1%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 87.8%
Neutral zone
Stenlund 52.8%
Result
Kevin Stenlund favored at 56.4%
56.4%
43.6%
Stenlund
Noesen
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Stenlund
Noesen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Noesen
0
1
Stenlund
Noesen
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
1
0
Stenlund
Noesen
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stenlund
Noesen
Edge
Even Strength
56.1% (615)
64.3% (14)
-8.2%
Power Play
53.2% (47)
36.8% (19)
+16.4%
On power play, Stenlund has a +16.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Noesen shoots right. Stenlund is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (320).
Stenlund shoots right. Noesen is 66.7% vs right-shot opponents (9).
Home / Away
Stenlund
Noesen
Home
57.0% (458)
42.9% (14)
Away
52.6% (511)
52.6% (19)
By Period
Stenlund
Noesen
P1
55.1%
35.7%
P2
53.3%
50.0%
P3
56.4%
80.0%
Final 5 min
57.6%
33.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stenlund
52.0%▼
59.0%
54.7%
Noesen
46.0%▼
47.5%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2026 | 2 | 13:09 | Offensive | Stefan Noesen |
| Dec 19, 2025 | 1 | 12:03 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |