Kevin Stenlund vs Stefan Noesen
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Kevin Stenlund holds a +10.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Noesen on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stenlund 54.0% vs Noesen 44.6% (+10.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Noesen 78.3%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 91.5%
Neutral zone
Stenlund 65.0%
Result
Stefan Noesen favored at 56.0%
44.0%
56.0%
Stenlund
Noesen
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Stenlund
Noesen
Last 7: Stenlund 4-3 Noesen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Noesen
1
3
Stenlund
Noesen
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
1
0
Stenlund
Noesen
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stenlund
2
0
Stenlund
Noesen
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stenlund
Noesen
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (2,703)
42.3% (407)
+13.0%
Power Play
52.6% (116)
46.5% (114)
+6.1%
Penalty Kill
50.6% (919)
57.1% (14)
-6.5%
On even strength, Stenlund has a +13.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Noesen shoots right. Stenlund is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (931).
Stenlund shoots right. Noesen is 41.2% vs right-shot opponents (148).
Home / Away
Stenlund
Noesen
Home
54.3% (1,848)
43.8% (267)
Away
53.9% (1,890)
43.3% (268)
By Period
Stenlund
Noesen
P1
56.4%
38.2%
P2
53.3%
45.3%
P3
52.8%
46.6%
Final 5 min
53.4%
46.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stenlund
52.0%▼
59.0%
54.1%
Noesen
46.0%▼
47.5%
43.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2026 | 2 | 13:09 | Offensive | Stefan Noesen |
| Dec 19, 2025 | 1 | 12:03 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 3 | 17:48 | Offensive | Stefan Noesen |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 3 | 15:42 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 3 | 12:33 | Offensive | Stefan Noesen |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 1 | 08:59 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Feb 22, 2024 | 1 | 16:30 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |