Scouting Report
Kevin Stenlund holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Motte on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Stenlund wins 53.1% vs left-shot opponents — Motte shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stenlund 51.2% vs Motte 50.2% (+1.1%)
H2H factor
Stenlund leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Motte 59.6%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 76.0%
Neutral zone
Stenlund 54.8%
Result
Kevin Stenlund favored at 54.0%
54.0%
46.0%
Stenlund
Motte
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
5
(11 meetings)
6
5
Stenlund
Motte
Last 10: Stenlund 5-5 Motte
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Motte
2
3
Stenlund
Motte
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
2
1
Stenlund
Motte
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stenlund
2
1
Stenlund
Motte
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stenlund
Motte
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (592)
49.7% (149)
+4.7%
Power Play
42.9% (14)
100.0% (1)
-57.1%
Penalty Kill
44.1% (229)
60.0% (5)
-15.9%
On power play, Motte has a +57.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Motte shoots left. Stenlund is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (644).
Stenlund shoots right. Motte is 53.8% vs right-shot opponents (65).
Home / Away
Stenlund
Motte
Home
50.7% (402)
49.4% (89)
Away
52.0% (433)
51.5% (66)
By Period
Stenlund
Motte
P1
56.5%
51.7%
P2
52.4%
50.0%
P3
45.2%
48.8%
Final 5 min
48.1%
46.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stenlund
52.0%▼
59.0%
51.4%
Motte
38.0%▼
45.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 17, 2024 | 3 | 10:10 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 3 | 04:25 | Offensive | Tyler Motte |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 3 | 04:09 | Neutral | Tyler Motte |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 3 | 01:56 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 2 | 10:12 | Offensive | Tyler Motte |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 2 | 07:18 | Offensive | Tyler Motte |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 1 | 13:15 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 1 | 01:47 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 2 | 06:26 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 2 | 06:20 | Defensive | Tyler Motte |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 1 | 07:48 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |