Scouting Report
Kevin Stenlund holds a +17.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Motte on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Stenlund wins 61.8% vs left-shot opponents — Motte shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stenlund 58.3% vs Motte 44.9% (+17.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stenlund 58.5%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 84.8%
Neutral zone
Stenlund 74.9%
Result
Kevin Stenlund favored at 70.7%
70.7%
29.3%
Stenlund
Motte
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Stenlund
Motte
Last 7: Stenlund 4-3 Motte
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Motte
1
2
Stenlund
Motte
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
2
0
Stenlund
Motte
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Stenlund
Motte
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stenlund
Motte
Edge
Even Strength
58.6% (797)
40.8% (130)
+17.8%
Power Play
62.5% (24)
50.0% (8)
+12.5%
Penalty Kill
60.5% (233)
42.9% (7)
+17.6%
On even strength, Stenlund has a +17.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Motte shoots left. Stenlund is 61.8% vs left-shot opponents (845).
Stenlund shoots right. Motte is 33.9% vs right-shot opponents (59).
Home / Away
Stenlund
Motte
Home
58.6% (548)
39.3% (61)
Away
59.7% (506)
42.9% (84)
By Period
Stenlund
Motte
P1
60.2%
42.0%
P2
59.1%
44.7%
P3
58.3%
37.5%
Final 5 min
58.8%
41.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stenlund
52.0%▼
59.0%
59.1%
Motte
38.0%▼
45.0%
41.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2025 | 3 | 09:43 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Mar 24, 2025 | 2 | 01:54 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Mar 24, 2025 | 1 | 02:03 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 1 | 08:34 | Offensive | Tyler Motte |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 1 | 08:27 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 1 | 02:38 | Offensive | Tyler Motte |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 1 | 02:08 | Neutral | Tyler Motte |