Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +14.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Larkin on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 54.2% vs Dach 43.2% (+14.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larkin 86.5%
Defensive zone
Larkin 91.9%
Neutral zone
Larkin 85.1%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 88.7%
88.7%
11.3%
Larkin
Dach
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Larkin
Dach
Last 5: Larkin 4-1 Dach
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
2
1
Larkin
Dach
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
2
0
Larkin
Dach
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Dach
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (1,117)
39.6% (217)
+13.0%
Power Play
60.7% (305)
47.6% (21)
+13.1%
On power play, Larkin has a +13.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dach shoots right. Larkin is 50.6% vs right-shot opponents (567).
Larkin shoots left. Dach is 36.5% vs left-shot opponents (181).
Home / Away
Larkin
Dach
Home
54.7% (783)
37.8% (127)
Away
54.3% (816)
43.2% (111)
By Period
Larkin
Dach
P1
55.9%
32.9%
P2
56.1%
36.3%
P3
51.1%
52.6%
Final 5 min
51.8%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
54.5%
Dach
42.0%▬
42.0%
40.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2024 | 1 | 02:23 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 20, 2024 | 3 | 00:21 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 20, 2024 | 2 | 06:32 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 20, 2024 | 1 | 08:37 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 20, 2024 | 1 | 02:23 | Offensive | Kirby Dach |