Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +14.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Dach wins 34.9% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dach 37.3% vs Monahan 51.3% (-14.8%)
H2H factor
Monahan leads 6-6 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Monahan 66.2%
Defensive zone
Monahan 50.2%
Neutral zone
Monahan 56.4%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 55.8%
44.2%
55.8%
Dach
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
6
(12 meetings)
6
6
Dach
Monahan
Last 10: Dach 4-6 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dach
2
1
Dach
Monahan
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
2
4
Dach
Monahan
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dach
2
1
Dach
Monahan
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dach
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
36.5% (1,423)
51.1% (11,356)
-14.6%
Power Play
35.7% (98)
53.7% (2,580)
-18.0%
Penalty Kill
36.0% (25)
46.0% (766)
-10.0%
On power play, Monahan has a +18.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Dach is 34.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,111).
Dach shoots right. Monahan is 50.5% vs right-shot opponents (5,401).
Home / Away
Dach
Monahan
Home
37.0% (857)
52.4% (7,358)
Away
35.8% (689)
50.2% (7,344)
By Period
Dach
Monahan
P1
35.3%
50.9%
P2
34.5%
51.7%
P3
40.4%
51.0%
OT
0.0%
53.5%
Final 5 min
39.9%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dach
42.0%▬
42.0%
36.5%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2024 | 3 | 11:08 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 1 | 16:25 | Defensive | Kirby Dach |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 1 | 13:01 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 3 | 14:18 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 3 | 12:08 | Neutral | Kirby Dach |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 3 | 11:59 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 1 | 13:32 | Offensive | Kirby Dach |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 1 | 10:08 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 2 | 00:37 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 2, 2022 | 2 | 19:38 | Defensive | Kirby Dach |
| Nov 23, 2021 | 3 | 18:39 | Neutral | Kirby Dach |
| Nov 23, 2021 | 2 | 16:40 | Offensive | Kirby Dach |