Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +12.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Dach wins 36.5% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dach 43.2% vs Monahan 52.4% (-12.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dach 70.2%
Defensive zone
Dach 64.2%
Neutral zone
Dach 65.0%
Result
Kirby Dach favored at 65.7%
65.7%
34.3%
Dach
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Dach
Monahan
Last 9: Dach 3-6 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Dach
Monahan
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
1
4
Dach
Monahan
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Dach
Monahan
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dach
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
39.6% (217)
52.4% (853)
-12.8%
Power Play
47.6% (21)
58.6% (174)
-11.0%
On even strength, Monahan has a +12.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Dach is 36.5% vs left-shot opponents (181).
Dach shoots right. Monahan is 55.3% vs right-shot opponents (389).
Home / Away
Dach
Monahan
Home
37.8% (127)
53.4% (624)
Away
43.2% (111)
51.7% (547)
By Period
Dach
Monahan
P1
32.9%
53.7%
P2
36.3%
52.4%
P3
52.6%
51.6%
Final 5 min
48.1%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dach
42.0%▬
42.0%
40.3%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2024 | 3 | 11:08 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 1 | 16:25 | Defensive | Kirby Dach |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 1 | 13:01 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 3 | 14:18 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 3 | 12:08 | Neutral | Kirby Dach |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 3 | 11:59 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 1 | 13:32 | Offensive | Kirby Dach |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 1 | 10:08 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 2 | 00:37 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |