Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +14.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Dach wins 35.1% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dach 37.4% vs Monahan 51.2% (-14.7%)
H2H factor
Monahan leads 6-6 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Monahan 66.7%
Defensive zone
Monahan 50.8%
Neutral zone
Monahan 57.0%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 56.3%
43.7%
56.3%
Dach
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
6
(12 meetings)
6
6
Dach
Monahan
Last 10: Dach 4-6 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dach
2
1
Dach
Monahan
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
2
4
Dach
Monahan
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dach
2
1
Dach
Monahan
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dach
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
36.7% (1,417)
51.1% (11,197)
-14.4%
Power Play
35.7% (98)
53.6% (2,558)
-17.9%
Penalty Kill
36.0% (25)
46.0% (733)
-10.0%
On power play, Monahan has a +17.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Dach is 35.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,106).
Dach shoots right. Monahan is 50.4% vs right-shot opponents (5,301).
Home / Away
Dach
Monahan
Home
37.1% (854)
52.3% (7,234)
Away
36.0% (686)
50.2% (7,254)
By Period
Dach
Monahan
P1
35.6%
51.0%
P2
34.6%
51.6%
P3
40.4%
51.1%
OT
0.0%
53.7%
Final 5 min
40.1%
50.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dach
44.0%▬
43.5%
36.6%
Monahan
58.0%▲
53.0%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2024 | 3 | 11:08 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 1 | 16:25 | Defensive | Kirby Dach |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 1 | 13:01 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 3 | 14:18 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 3 | 12:08 | Neutral | Kirby Dach |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 3 | 11:59 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 1 | 13:32 | Offensive | Kirby Dach |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 1 | 10:08 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 2 | 00:37 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 2, 2022 | 2 | 19:38 | Defensive | Kirby Dach |
| Nov 23, 2021 | 3 | 18:39 | Neutral | Kirby Dach |
| Nov 23, 2021 | 2 | 16:40 | Offensive | Kirby Dach |