Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +16.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Seguin on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Dach wins 36.5% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dach 41.9% vs Seguin 54.2% (-16.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dach 74.9%
Defensive zone
Dach 73.1%
Neutral zone
Dach 78.5%
Result
Kirby Dach favored at 75.8%
75.8%
24.2%
Dach
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Dach
Seguin
Last 6: Dach 1-5 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
1
2
Dach
Seguin
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
3
Dach
Seguin
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dach
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
38.5% (213)
55.0% (713)
-16.5%
Power Play
33.3% (9)
56.7% (104)
-23.4%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (5)
47.2% (53)
-7.2%
On power play, Seguin has a +23.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Dach is 36.5% vs right-shot opponents (74).
Dach shoots right. Seguin is 51.8% vs right-shot opponents (274).
Home / Away
Dach
Seguin
Home
38.8% (147)
56.2% (443)
Away
37.5% (80)
53.2% (427)
By Period
Dach
Seguin
P1
36.3%
54.2%
P2
40.0%
52.9%
P3
40.0%
57.1%
OT
0.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
27.6%
57.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dach
42.0%▬
42.0%
38.3%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
54.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2022 | 3 | 15:00 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 2 | 15:19 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 1 | 09:01 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 1 | 08:54 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 1 | 04:57 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 3 | 08:28 | Defensive | Kirby Dach |