Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +17.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Seguin on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Dach wins 40.5% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dach 37.3% vs Seguin 53.6% (-17.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dach 87.1%
Defensive zone
Dach 84.6%
Neutral zone
Dach 88.3%
Result
Kirby Dach favored at 86.6%
86.6%
13.4%
Dach
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
7
(8 meetings)
1
7
Dach
Seguin
Last 8: Dach 1-7 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
2
Dach
Seguin
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
1
2
Dach
Seguin
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
3
Dach
Seguin
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dach
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
36.5% (1,423)
53.7% (8,071)
-17.2%
Power Play
35.7% (98)
55.9% (810)
-20.2%
Penalty Kill
36.0% (25)
49.3% (762)
-13.3%
On power play, Seguin has a +20.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Dach is 40.5% vs right-shot opponents (435).
Dach shoots right. Seguin is 54.1% vs right-shot opponents (2,846).
Home / Away
Dach
Seguin
Home
37.0% (857)
55.9% (4,759)
Away
35.8% (689)
51.4% (4,885)
By Period
Dach
Seguin
P1
35.3%
52.8%
P2
34.5%
53.3%
P3
40.4%
54.7%
OT
0.0%
54.7%
Final 5 min
39.9%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dach
42.0%▬
42.0%
36.5%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2022 | 3 | 15:00 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 2 | 15:19 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 1 | 09:01 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 1 | 08:54 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 1 | 04:57 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 3 | 08:28 | Defensive | Kirby Dach |
| Dec 18, 2021 | 3 | 05:49 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 18, 2021 | 1 | 01:47 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |