Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for MacLean on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). MacLean wins 46.2% vs left-shot opponents — Eller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacLean 48.5% vs Eller 51.9% (-4.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eller 51.7%
Defensive zone
Eller 67.5%
Neutral zone
Eller 63.5%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 62.6%
37.4%
62.6%
MacLean
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
MacLean
Eller
Last 7: MacLean 4-3 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
MacLean
Eller
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacLean
3
1
MacLean
Eller
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacLean
2
1
MacLean
Eller
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacLean
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
47.6% (540)
52.8% (650)
-5.2%
Power Play
66.7% (3)
69.2% (13)
-2.5%
Penalty Kill
60.9% (23)
45.5% (88)
+15.4%
On penalty kill, MacLean has a +15.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. MacLean is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (368).
MacLean shoots left. Eller is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (526).
Home / Away
MacLean
Eller
Home
47.6% (273)
52.6% (340)
Away
48.8% (293)
51.8% (411)
By Period
MacLean
Eller
P1
45.5%
52.4%
P2
48.8%
54.1%
P3
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
59.5%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacLean
56.0%▬
56.5%
48.2%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2025 | 3 | 18:22 | Defensive | Kyle MacLean |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 3 | 02:27 | Defensive | Kyle MacLean |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 3 | 11:27 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 2 | 13:23 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 1 | 12:10 | Neutral | Kyle MacLean |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 1 | 04:50 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 1 | 11:50 | Defensive | Kyle MacLean |