Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for MacLean on defensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). MacLean wins 46.3% vs left-shot opponents — Eller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacLean 47.9% vs Eller 50.5% (-2.8%)
H2H factor
MacLean leads 11-6 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Eller 57.7%
Defensive zone
Eller 79.0%
Neutral zone
Eller 64.8%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 69.0%
31.0%
69.0%
MacLean
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
6
(17 meetings)
11
6
MacLean
Eller
Last 10: MacLean 6-4 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
MacLean
Eller
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacLean
5
2
MacLean
Eller
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacLean
4
2
MacLean
Eller
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacLean
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
47.2% (849)
51.1% (10,296)
-3.9%
Power Play
62.5% (8)
52.8% (621)
+9.7%
Penalty Kill
56.7% (30)
46.7% (1,751)
+10.0%
On penalty kill, MacLean has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. MacLean is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (572).
MacLean shoots left. Eller is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (8,123).
Home / Away
MacLean
Eller
Home
46.9% (426)
51.4% (6,118)
Away
48.4% (461)
49.7% (6,578)
By Period
MacLean
Eller
P1
46.6%
51.2%
P2
49.7%
50.1%
P3
46.5%
50.2%
Final 5 min
54.9%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacLean
56.0%▬
56.5%
47.7%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2025 | 3 | 07:13 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 1 | 02:19 | Neutral | Kyle MacLean |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 3 | 18:22 | Defensive | Kyle MacLean |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 3 | 02:27 | Defensive | Kyle MacLean |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 3 | 11:27 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 2 | 13:23 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 1 | 12:10 | Neutral | Kyle MacLean |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 1 | 04:50 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 1 | 11:50 | Defensive | Kyle MacLean |
| Apr 17, 2024 | 3 | 10:56 | Neutral | Kyle MacLean |
| Apr 17, 2024 | 3 | 08:21 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Apr 17, 2024 | 2 | 14:06 | Defensive | Kyle MacLean |
| Apr 17, 2024 | 2 | 05:47 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Apr 17, 2024 | 2 | 01:18 | Defensive | Kyle MacLean |
| Apr 17, 2024 | 1 | 02:48 | Offensive | Kyle MacLean |