Scouting Report
Mark Jankowski holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Jankowski on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). MacLean wins 46.2% vs left-shot opponents — Jankowski shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacLean 48.5% vs Jankowski 50.5% (-2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacLean 53.9%
Defensive zone
Jankowski 56.4%
Neutral zone
MacLean 50.2%
Result
Kyle MacLean favored at 51.0%
51.0%
49.0%
MacLean
Jankowski
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
MacLean
Jankowski
Last 6: MacLean 3-3 Jankowski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jankowski
1
2
MacLean
Jankowski
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jankowski
0
1
MacLean
Jankowski
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacLean
2
0
MacLean
Jankowski
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacLean
Jankowski
Edge
Even Strength
47.6% (540)
51.3% (347)
-3.7%
Power Play
66.7% (3)
72.7% (11)
-6.0%
Penalty Kill
60.9% (23)
44.0% (75)
+16.9%
On penalty kill, MacLean has a +16.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jankowski shoots left. MacLean is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (368).
MacLean shoots left. Jankowski is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (270).
Home / Away
MacLean
Jankowski
Home
47.6% (273)
46.8% (188)
Away
48.8% (293)
53.5% (245)
By Period
MacLean
Jankowski
P1
45.5%
51.6%
P2
48.8%
49.3%
P3
50.0%
50.9%
Final 5 min
59.5%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacLean
56.0%▬
56.5%
48.2%
Jankowski
58.0%▲
52.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2025 | 3 | 17:14 | Neutral | Kyle MacLean |
| Mar 30, 2025 | 3 | 11:40 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Mar 30, 2025 | 2 | 02:20 | Offensive | Kyle MacLean |
| Mar 30, 2025 | 1 | 13:41 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Mar 30, 2025 | 1 | 07:01 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Mar 30, 2025 | 1 | 04:25 | Neutral | Kyle MacLean |