Scouting Report
Mark Jankowski holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for MacLean on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). MacLean wins 46.3% vs left-shot opponents — Jankowski shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacLean 47.9% vs Jankowski 50.4% (-2.7%)
H2H factor
MacLean leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Jankowski 54.1%
Defensive zone
Jankowski 65.4%
Neutral zone
Jankowski 54.0%
Result
Mark Jankowski favored at 57.8%
42.2%
57.8%
MacLean
Jankowski
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
5
(12 meetings)
7
5
MacLean
Jankowski
Last 10: MacLean 5-5 Jankowski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
MacLean
Jankowski
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jankowski
1
3
MacLean
Jankowski
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacLean
4
0
MacLean
Jankowski
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacLean
Jankowski
Edge
Even Strength
47.2% (849)
51.5% (3,462)
-4.3%
Power Play
62.5% (8)
53.7% (95)
+8.8%
Penalty Kill
56.7% (30)
42.8% (528)
+13.9%
On penalty kill, MacLean has a +13.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jankowski shoots left. MacLean is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (572).
MacLean shoots left. Jankowski is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (2,535).
Home / Away
MacLean
Jankowski
Home
46.9% (426)
51.9% (1,940)
Away
48.4% (461)
49.1% (2,145)
By Period
MacLean
Jankowski
P1
46.6%
50.0%
P2
49.7%
51.2%
P3
46.5%
50.2%
Final 5 min
54.9%
52.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacLean
56.0%▬
56.5%
47.7%
Jankowski
58.0%▲
52.0%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2025 | 3 | 14:31 | Neutral | Kyle MacLean |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 3 | 02:02 | Defensive | Kyle MacLean |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 2 | 18:02 | Neutral | Kyle MacLean |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 2 | 13:31 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 1 | 08:28 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Mar 30, 2025 | 3 | 17:14 | Neutral | Kyle MacLean |
| Mar 30, 2025 | 3 | 11:40 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Mar 30, 2025 | 2 | 02:20 | Offensive | Kyle MacLean |
| Mar 30, 2025 | 1 | 13:41 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Mar 30, 2025 | 1 | 07:01 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Mar 30, 2025 | 1 | 04:25 | Neutral | Kyle MacLean |
| Apr 6, 2024 | 3 | 01:56 | Offensive | Kyle MacLean |