Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. MacLean wins 42.2% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacLean 44.7% vs Dowd 48.3% (-5.6%)
Offensive zone
MacLean 84.9%
Defensive zone
Dowd 93.0%
Neutral zone
Dowd 53.9%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 54.0%
46.0%
54.0%
MacLean
Dowd
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacLean
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
42.4% (238)
49.2% (778)
-6.8%
Power Play
75.0% (4)
58.3% (12)
+16.7%
Penalty Kill
20.0% (5)
44.0% (234)
-24.0%
On penalty kill, Dowd has a +24.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. MacLean is 42.2% vs right-shot opponents (90).
MacLean shoots left. Dowd is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (698).
Home / Away
MacLean
Dowd
Home
41.4% (128)
46.3% (492)
Away
43.7% (119)
49.8% (532)
By Period
MacLean
Dowd
P1
49.3%
49.1%
P2
41.6%
48.2%
P3
37.6%
46.9%
Final 5 min
41.0%
45.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacLean
56.0%▬
56.5%
42.5%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
48.1%