Scouting Report
Ryan McLeod holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for McLeod on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). MacLean wins 46.2% vs left-shot opponents — McLeod shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacLean 48.5% vs McLeod 52.1% (-4.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacLean 65.8%
Defensive zone
MacLean 55.4%
Neutral zone
MacLean 62.3%
Result
Kyle MacLean favored at 63.0%
63.0%
37.0%
MacLean
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
MacLean
McLeod
Last 5: MacLean 1-4 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
1
MacLean
McLeod
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McLeod
1
3
MacLean
McLeod
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacLean
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
47.6% (540)
52.9% (904)
-5.3%
Power Play
66.7% (3)
57.6% (59)
+9.1%
Penalty Kill
60.9% (23)
49.0% (241)
+11.9%
On penalty kill, MacLean has a +11.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. MacLean is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (368).
MacLean shoots left. McLeod is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (784).
Home / Away
MacLean
McLeod
Home
47.6% (273)
51.8% (612)
Away
48.8% (293)
52.9% (592)
By Period
MacLean
McLeod
P1
45.5%
55.4%
P2
48.8%
50.8%
P3
50.0%
51.6%
Final 5 min
59.5%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacLean
56.0%▬
56.5%
48.2%
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 30, 2024 | 3 | 19:52 | Neutral | Kyle MacLean |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 3 | 12:27 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 2 | 09:28 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 1 | 02:08 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 1, 2024 | 2 | 05:25 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |