Scouting Report
Ryan McLeod holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for McLeod on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). MacLean wins 46.3% vs left-shot opponents — McLeod shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacLean 47.9% vs McLeod 49.6% (-1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacLean 58.1%
Defensive zone
MacLean 51.1%
Neutral zone
MacLean 60.9%
Result
Kyle MacLean favored at 60.3%
60.3%
39.7%
MacLean
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
MacLean
McLeod
Last 5: MacLean 1-4 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
1
MacLean
McLeod
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McLeod
1
3
MacLean
McLeod
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacLean
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
47.2% (849)
50.4% (3,345)
-3.2%
Power Play
62.5% (8)
51.0% (292)
+11.5%
Penalty Kill
56.7% (30)
44.3% (635)
+12.4%
On penalty kill, MacLean has a +12.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. MacLean is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (572).
MacLean shoots left. McLeod is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (2,782).
Home / Away
MacLean
McLeod
Home
46.9% (426)
50.2% (2,158)
Away
48.4% (461)
48.9% (2,114)
By Period
MacLean
McLeod
P1
46.6%
50.8%
P2
49.7%
48.4%
P3
46.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
54.9%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacLean
56.0%▬
56.5%
47.7%
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 30, 2024 | 3 | 19:52 | Neutral | Kyle MacLean |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 3 | 12:27 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 2 | 09:28 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 1 | 02:08 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 1, 2024 | 2 | 05:25 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |