Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Aho on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). MacLean wins 46.2% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacLean 48.5% vs Aho 54.9% (-7.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacLean 55.1%
Defensive zone
MacLean 81.5%
Neutral zone
MacLean 67.2%
Result
Kyle MacLean favored at 62.8%
62.8%
37.2%
MacLean
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
MacLean
Aho
Last 5: MacLean 1-4 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
0
3
MacLean
Aho
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Aho
0
1
MacLean
Aho
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacLean
1
0
MacLean
Aho
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacLean
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
47.6% (540)
54.5% (870)
-6.9%
Power Play
66.7% (3)
62.4% (266)
+4.3%
Penalty Kill
60.9% (23)
37.1% (62)
+23.8%
On penalty kill, MacLean has a +23.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. MacLean is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (368).
MacLean shoots left. Aho is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (805).
Home / Away
MacLean
Aho
Home
47.6% (273)
53.9% (603)
Away
48.8% (293)
56.8% (595)
By Period
MacLean
Aho
P1
45.5%
54.1%
P2
48.8%
55.0%
P3
50.0%
57.4%
Final 5 min
59.5%
55.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacLean
60.0%▲
54.0%
48.2%
Aho
54.0%▼
56.5%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2025 | 3 | 19:45 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 2 | 11:28 | Neutral | Kyle MacLean |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 3 | 02:57 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 2 | 06:32 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 1 | 13:45 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |