Scouting Report
Mathew Barzal holds a +16.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Palmieri 43.0% vs Barzal 46.9% (-16.9%)
Offensive zone
Palmieri 54.0%
Defensive zone
Barzal 64.6%
Neutral zone
Barzal 55.0%
Result
Mathew Barzal favored at 55.2%
44.8%
55.2%
Palmieri
Barzal
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Palmieri
Barzal
Edge
Even Strength
31.0% (29)
46.6% (483)
-15.6%
Power Play
23.8% (21)
40.9% (22)
-17.1%
On power play, Barzal has a +17.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barzal shoots right. Palmieri is 33.3% vs right-shot opponents (15).
Palmieri shoots right. Barzal is 47.5% vs right-shot opponents (120).
Home / Away
Palmieri
Barzal
Home
30.4% (23)
49.6% (242)
Away
28.6% (28)
43.3% (263)
By Period
Palmieri
Barzal
P1
37.5%
42.4%
P2
26.9%
49.5%
P3
22.2%
47.7%
Final 5 min
33.3%
40.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Palmieri
38.0%▲
35.5%
29.4%
Barzal
40.0%▼
44.5%
46.3%