Scouting Report
Mathew Barzal holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Palmieri 47.4% vs Barzal 47.4% (-2.9%)
Offensive zone
Barzal 56.4%
Defensive zone
Palmieri 58.4%
Neutral zone
Barzal 50.3%
Result
Kyle Palmieri favored at 50.6%
50.6%
49.4%
Palmieri
Barzal
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Palmieri
Barzal
Edge
Even Strength
28.6% (28)
42.3% (52)
-13.7%
On even strength, Barzal has a +13.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barzal shoots right. Palmieri is 62.5% vs right-shot opponents (8).
Palmieri shoots right. Barzal is 37.5% vs right-shot opponents (8).
Home / Away
Palmieri
Barzal
Home
50.0% (14)
28.0% (25)
Away
31.6% (19)
55.6% (27)
By Period
Palmieri
Barzal
P1
41.7%
47.4%
P2
41.7%
45.8%
P3
33.3%
22.2%
Final 5 min
50.0%
37.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Palmieri
38.0%▲
35.5%
39.4%
Barzal
40.0%▼
44.5%
42.3%