Scouting Report
Kyle Turris holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Turris on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Turris wins 47.0% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Turris 47.1% vs Backlund 46.1% (+1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Turris 77.9%
Defensive zone
Backlund 50.6%
Neutral zone
Turris 62.6%
Result
Kyle Turris favored at 62.6%
62.6%
37.4%
Turris
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Turris
Backlund
Last 6: Turris 5-1 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Turris
5
1
Turris
Backlund
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Turris
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
46.6% (614)
45.9% (410)
+0.7%
Power Play
49.0% (98)
44.8% (29)
+4.2%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (10)
42.9% (56)
-2.9%
On power play, Turris has a +4.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Turris is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (491).
Turris shoots right. Backlund is 42.6% vs right-shot opponents (190).
Home / Away
Turris
Backlund
Home
50.3% (352)
49.3% (217)
Away
43.4% (371)
42.3% (279)
By Period
Turris
Backlund
P1
48.1%
44.0%
P2
45.8%
49.4%
P3
46.5%
42.8%
OT
42.9%
40.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
41.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Turris
56.0%▲
49.0%
46.7%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
45.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 30, 2011 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Kyle Turris |
| Dec 30, 2011 | 2 | 12:55 | Neutral | Kyle Turris |
| Dec 30, 2011 | 2 | 03:35 | Neutral | Kyle Turris |
| Dec 30, 2011 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 30, 2011 | 1 | 02:46 | Neutral | Kyle Turris |
| Dec 30, 2011 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Kyle Turris |