Scouting Report
Kyle Turris holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Backlund on defensive-zone draws (76% H2H, 21 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Turris 50.3% vs Backlund 49.0% (+1.3%)
H2H factor
Turris leads 29-28 in 57 meetings
Offensive zone
Turris 62.9%
Defensive zone
Backlund 70.9%
Neutral zone
Backlund 52.1%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 55.6%
44.4%
55.6%
Turris
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
29
-
28
(57 meetings)
29
28
Turris
Backlund
Last 10: Turris 2-8 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Turris
8
5
Turris
Backlund
13 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
5
16
Turris
Backlund
21 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Turris
16
7
Turris
Backlund
23 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Turris
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
50.2% (7,653)
49.7% (13,410)
+0.5%
Power Play
52.4% (1,312)
51.6% (1,336)
+0.8%
Penalty Kill
48.6% (580)
44.0% (2,446)
+4.6%
On penalty kill, Turris has a +4.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Turris is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (6,446).
Turris shoots right. Backlund is 49.5% vs right-shot opponents (6,244).
Home / Away
Turris
Backlund
Home
53.5% (4,794)
49.7% (8,565)
Away
47.1% (4,756)
48.3% (8,632)
By Period
Turris
Backlund
P1
51.5%
48.5%
P2
50.8%
50.3%
P3
48.4%
48.4%
OT
56.0%
44.1%
Final 5 min
50.5%
48.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Turris
56.0%▲
49.0%
50.3%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2021 | 2 | 15:21 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 16, 2021 | 1 | 04:37 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Feb 6, 2021 | 3 | 10:57 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Feb 6, 2021 | 3 | 05:16 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Feb 6, 2021 | 2 | 06:54 | Defensive | Kyle Turris |
| Feb 6, 2021 | 1 | 01:49 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Feb 27, 2020 | 3 | 19:59 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Feb 27, 2020 | 2 | 16:16 | Neutral | Kyle Turris |
| Feb 27, 2020 | 1 | 05:32 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 31, 2019 | 2 | 11:33 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 19, 2018 | 2 | 12:51 | Neutral | Kyle Turris |
| Oct 9, 2018 | 3 | 09:59 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |
| Oct 9, 2018 | 2 | 19:47 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 9, 2018 | 2 | 02:28 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 16, 2017 | 2 | 11:17 | Neutral | Kyle Turris |
| Oct 13, 2017 | 1 | 04:49 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 26, 2017 | OT | 04:09 | Neutral | Kyle Turris |
| Jan 26, 2017 | 3 | 11:03 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 26, 2017 | 3 | 02:43 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 26, 2017 | 2 | 17:32 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |