Scouting Report
Kyle Turris holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Turris wins 57.9% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Turris 52.0% vs Backlund 50.5% (+5.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backlund 53.1%
Defensive zone
Backlund 73.4%
Neutral zone
Backlund 61.2%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 63.3%
36.7%
63.3%
Turris
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Turris
Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
0
1
Turris
Backlund
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
0
1
Turris
Backlund
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Turris
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
56.1% (41)
51.5% (983)
+4.6%
Power Play
55.6% (9)
49.4% (87)
+6.2%
On power play, Turris has a +6.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Turris is 57.9% vs left-shot opponents (38).
Turris shoots right. Backlund is 49.5% vs right-shot opponents (487).
Home / Away
Turris
Backlund
Home
45.8% (24)
51.6% (653)
Away
65.4% (26)
49.3% (576)
By Period
Turris
Backlund
P1
64.7%
50.0%
P2
64.7%
49.8%
P3
37.5%
51.7%
Final 5 min
42.9%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Turris
56.0%▲
49.0%
56.0%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2021 | 2 | 15:21 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 16, 2021 | 1 | 04:37 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |