Scouting Report
Kyle Turris holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Turris on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Turris 50.6% vs Backlund 47.7% (+3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Turris 68.6%
Defensive zone
Turris 67.5%
Neutral zone
Turris 70.0%
Result
Kyle Turris favored at 68.2%
68.2%
31.8%
Turris
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Turris
Backlund
Last 8: Turris 6-2 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Turris
2
1
Turris
Backlund
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Turris
3
1
Turris
Backlund
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Turris
1
0
Turris
Backlund
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Turris
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
49.5% (1,083)
47.2% (1,002)
+2.3%
Power Play
55.1% (156)
46.7% (150)
+8.4%
Penalty Kill
53.7% (190)
50.0% (170)
+3.7%
On power play, Turris has a +8.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Turris is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (942).
Turris shoots right. Backlund is 49.3% vs right-shot opponents (558).
Home / Away
Turris
Backlund
Home
53.6% (703)
48.3% (633)
Away
47.8% (726)
46.7% (689)
By Period
Turris
Backlund
P1
54.3%
49.2%
P2
48.3%
48.9%
P3
49.1%
45.4%
OT
56.7%
33.3%
Final 5 min
56.1%
45.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Turris
56.0%▲
49.0%
50.7%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
47.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2014 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Kyle Turris |
| Mar 30, 2014 | 2 | 12:26 | Defensive | Kyle Turris |
| Mar 30, 2014 | 2 | 06:15 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 30, 2014 | 2 | 06:11 | Defensive | Kyle Turris |
| Mar 30, 2014 | 2 | 05:24 | Defensive | Kyle Turris |
| Mar 30, 2014 | 1 | 15:04 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |
| Mar 5, 2014 | 3 | 09:51 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 5, 2014 | 3 | 01:30 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |